Meteogalicia

Santiago de Compostela, Spain

Meteogalicia

Santiago de Compostela, Spain

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Piedracoba S.,University of Vigo | Alvarez-Salgado X.A.,CSIC - Institute of Marine Research | Labarta U.,CSIC - Institute of Marine Research | Fernandez-Reiriz M.J.,CSIC - Institute of Marine Research | And 2 more authors.
Continental Shelf Research | Year: 2014

Knowledge of water flows through mussel rafts and their controlling factors is required for an ecosystem approach to the sustainable management of this culture in the Galician rías. With this aim, 4 acoustic 2D-ACM current meters were hung from the bow of 4 rafts located in the mussel cultivation areas of the Ría de Ares-Betanzos (NW Spain) during autumn 2007. Simultaneously, an Aanderaa DCM12 Doppler profiler was moored in an area free of rafts in the middle ría. There were differences in the subtidal and tidal dynamics of the middle channel and mussel farm areas. The tide explained 51.5% of the total variance of the surface current in the middle ría. The explained variance in the seed collection areas of Redes (inner ría) and Miranda (outer ría), where only 2-3 rafts are anchored, were 64.1% and 16.8%, respectively. In the cultivation areas of Arnela (inner ría) and Lorbé (middle ría), where 101 and 40 rafts are anchored, 14.3% and 53.4% of the total variance was explained by the tide. These disparities in the contribution of the tide are likely due to a combination of topographic and bathymetric differences among sites and distortions of the natural flow by the rafts and their hanging ropes. Furthermore, there was a marked influence of winds on the subtidal currents within the rafts; contrasting correlation coefficients and lag times between wind speed and currents were observed for the outer and inner sides of the embayment. The filtration rate of the growing mussels and the number of mussels per raft allow an efficient clearing of the particles transported across the hanging ropes by the measured subtidal currents of 2-3cms-1 characteristic of the cultivation areas of Arnela and Lorbé. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.


Lorenzo M.N.,University of Vigo | Taboada J.J.,MeteoGalicia | Lorenzo J.F.,University of Vigo | Ramos A.M.,University of Vigo | Ramos A.M.,University of Lisbon
Regional Environmental Change | Year: 2013

Climate exerts an important role on grape production and wine quality. For one of the main areas protected under the denomination of origin Rías Baixas, in Galicia, Spain, we explore the relationships among grape production, wine quality, rainfall and temperature for the period 1987-2005. The influence of climatic variability was analysed in terms of the relationship between the productivity of the grapevines and the main meteorological teleconnection patterns affecting the North Atlantic region. We also investigate the daily variation in atmospheric circulation through the study of the influence of weather types derived using an automated daily classification. We consider three bioclimatic indices for viticultural zoning, Winkler and Huglin, and the hydrothermic index of Branas, Bernon and Levadoux. While significant trends were identified in the Winkler and Huglin indices, there were no significant trends in the Branas, Bernon and Levadoux index, for the period 1958-2005. For the coming decades, using the scenario A1B evaluated by the regional climate models used in the ENSEMBLES project, the positive trends of Winkler and Huglin indices continue, while Branas, Bernon and Levadoux implies a negative trend. In all cases, these trends induce significant changes in the viticulture of the region. © 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.


Lorenzo M.N.,University of Vigo | Ramos A.M.,University of Lisbon | Brands S.,MeteoGalicia | Brands S.,University of Cantabria
Regional Environmental Change | Year: 2016

This study deals with the question of how winegrowing in Spain may be altered by anthropogenic climate change. The present state and expected future development of three bioclimatic indices relevant for winegrowing were assessed by observation, and four regional climate models from the EU-ENSEMBLES project were investigated. When comparing the 2061–2090 scenario period to the 1961–1990 reference period, the models unanimously indicate a significant increase in the mean of the two considered thermal indices over the entire study region. However, for the index based on temperature and precipitation, the models are heavily biased when verified against observations and generally disagree on the size of the projected future change. For this index, unanimous model agreement was only found for northwestern Spain where all models indicated a significant decrease in the mean. From these results, regional climate change is expected to negatively affect the quality of wine in the growing regions of central and southern Spain, and the Ebro valley, whereas positive effects should be expected in the northwest. No significant changes in the risk of mildew infestation are to be expected except for the northwest, where this risk is projected to decrease. © 2015, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.


Huhn F.,University of Santiago de Compostela | von Kameke A.,University of Santiago de Compostela | Allen-Perkins S.,TRAGSATEC | Montero P.,INTECMAR | And 2 more authors.
Continental Shelf Research | Year: 2012

Horizontal Lagrangian surface transport is studied in the Ria de Vigo, an estuary in NW Spain with tidal and wind-driven dynamics. Surface drifters and the surface flow from a high-resolution 3-D hydrodynamic model are compared to each other. In particular, our analysis is based on a classical comparison of real and artificial trajectories and on Lagrangian Coherent Structures (LCS) defined as ridges in spatial fields of the Finite-Time Lyapunov Exponent (FTLE). The trajectories of the drifters are in good agreement with the prediction of the model in two out of four cases. Further, FTLE ridges computed from the model velocity fields are found to mark transport barriers for the drifters. The results indicate that the model is able to represent the general circulation in the estuary. Main patterns in the Lagrangian surface transport in the model are shown for two typical meteorological situations, north wind and south wind. They can be interpreted as an imprint of a 3-dimensional circulation pattern in the Ria de Vigo and reveal in detail the separation of the time-dependent in- and outflow at the surface of the estuary. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd.


Brands S.,Institute Fisica Of Cantabria Csic Uc | Taboada J.J.,MeteoGalicia | Cofino A.S.,University of Cantabria | Sauter T.,RWTH Aachen | Schneider C.,RWTH Aachen
Climate Research | Year: 2011

We used the analogue method to generate ensemble projections of local daily mean, maximum and minimum air temperatures in the NW Iberian Peninsula until the middle of this century. A 3-step method was followed. (1) The error of the analogue method under optimal conditions was estimated, using air temperatures at 850 hPa and mean sea level pressure from reanalysis data as predictor variables. (2) The method's error under suboptimal conditions was assessed by taking these predictors from control runs of a multi-model, multi-initial- conditions ensemble of global climate models. Neither the predictor data nor the downscaled series were corrected. Under these sub-optimal conditions, none of the individual downscaled series could robustly reproduce the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the observations in any season of the year. However, when the single downscaled series were combined into a multi-model series, CDFs were reliably reconstructed for summer and autumn. (3) Temperature series were downscaled from the ensemble's scenario runs and compared to observations in the reference period to detect local climate change. In addition to the mean relative warming, it can be shown that the less frequent the event in the reference period, the higher its frequency increase and the broader its uncertainty interval in the scenario period. This tendency is more pronounced for daytime than for night-time heat/warm events, leading to a tripling to quadrupling of the former in summer. The local projections' uncertainty intervals are dominated by model errors rather than by forcing or initial-conditions uncertainties. © Inter-Research 2011.


Ramos-Soto A.,University of Santiago de Compostela | Bugarin A.J.,University of Santiago de Compostela | Barro S.,University of Santiago de Compostela | Taboada J.,MeteoGalicia
IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems | Year: 2015

We present in this paper an application that automatically generates textual short-term weather forecasts for every municipality in Galicia (NW Spain), using the real data provided by the GalicianMeteorology Agency (MeteoGalicia). This solution combines in an innovative way computing with perceptions techniques and strategies for linguistic description of data, together with a natural language generation (NLG) system. The application, which is named GALiWeather, extracts relevant information from weather forecast input data and encodes it into intermediate descriptions using linguistic variables and temporal references. These descriptions are later translated into natural language texts by the NLG system. The obtained forecast results have been thoroughly validated by an expert meteorologist from MeteoGalicia using a quality assessment methodology, which covers two key dimensions of a text: the accuracy of its content and the correctness of its form. Following this validation, GALiWeather will be released as a real service, offering custom forecasts for a wide public. © 2014 IEEE.


Lorenzo M.N.,University of Vigo | Iglesias I.,University of Vigo | Taboada J.J.,Meteogalicia | Gomez-Gesteira M.,University of Vigo
International Journal of Climatology | Year: 2010

This study assesses the relationship between monthly North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) and a regional index of rainfall (NWIPR) in northwest Iberian Peninsula during the period 1951-2006 by means of the Pearson product-moment correlation. Results show a strong influence of SSTA on NWIPR in several months (February, April, May, October and December). The observed persistence of this influence up to 2-months in advance can be used for monthly predictions of rainfall. The most significant areas of the North Atlantic were clustered to be used as input variables in linear regression models. Correlations up to 0.59 between observed and predicted rainfall anomalies were obtained. Predictability ranged from 76 to 86% when considering rainfall as a discrete predictand. © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society.


Lorenzo M.N.,University of Vigo | Ramos A.M.,University of Vigo | Taboada J.J.,Meteogalicia | Gimeno L.,University of Vigo
PLoS ONE | Year: 2011

The aim of the work described herein was to study projection scenarios in order to find changes in the synoptic variability of the northwest Iberian Peninsula in the 21st century. To this end, we investigated the changes in the frequency of the different circulation types computed for the study area using three different models used in the IPCC 4th assessment report. The circulation types were computed using the procedure known as Lamb circulation types. The control simulation for the late 20th century was evaluated objectively from the results obtained using data from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, as to evaluate the ability of the model to reproduce the present climate. We have compared not only seasonal mean sea level pressure fields but also the mean seasonal frequency of circulation types. The results for the end of the 21st century show a decrease in the frequency of cyclonic, W, and SW circulation types in the spring and summer months. This trend also appears in the autumn, with a concomitant increase in the anticyclonic types. © 2011 Lorenzo et al.


Iglesias I.,University of Vigo | Iglesias I.,University of Porto | Lorenzo M.N.,University of Vigo | Taboada J.J.,Meteogalicia
PLoS ONE | Year: 2014

This study analyzes the influence of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) on the second mode of atmospheric variability in the north Atlantic/European sector, namely the East-Atlantic (EA) pattern, for the period 1950-2012. For this purpose, lead-lag relationships between SSTs and the EA pattern, ranging from 0 to 3 seasons, were assessed. As a main result, anomalies of the EA pattern in boreal summer and autumn are significantly related to SST anomalies in the Indo-Pacific Ocean during the preceding seasons. A statistical forecasting scheme based on multiple linear regression was used to hindcast the EA-anomalies with a lead-time of 1 to 2 months. The results of a one-year-out cross-validation approach indicate that the phases of the EA in summer and autumn can be properly hindcast. © 2014 Iglesias et al.


Perez-Munuzuri V.,MeteoGalicia | Huhn F.,University of Santiago de Compostela
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics | Year: 2010

Horizontal mixing has been found to play a crucial role in the development of spatial plankton structures in the ocean. We study the influence of time and length scales of two different horizontal two-dimensional (2-D) flows on the growth of a single phytoplankton patch. To that end, we use a coupled model consisting of a standard three component ecological NPZ model and a flow model able to mimic the mesoscale structures observed in the ocean. Two hydrodynamic flow models are used: a flow based on Gaussian correlated noise, for which the Eulerian length and time scales can be easily controlled, and a multiscale velocity field derived from altimetry data in the North Atlantic ocean. We find the optimal time and length scales for the Gaussian flow model favouring the plankton spread. These results are used for an analysis of a more realistic altimetry flow. We discuss the findings in terms of the time scale of the NPZ model, the qualitative interaction of the flow with the reaction front and a Finite-Time Lyapunov Exponent analysis.

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