Pankratova N.D.,Institute for Applied System Analysis NTUU KPI 37 |
Bidyuk P.I.,Institute for Applied System Analysis NTUU KPI 37 |
Selin Y.M.,Institute for Applied System Analysis NTUU KPI 37 |
Savchenko I.O.,Institute for Applied System Analysis NTUU KPI 37 |
And 3 more authors.
NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security | Year: 2014
The methodology for foresight and forecasting of social, technological and environmental disasters for prevention, mitigation and recovering after disaster situations is considered. The proposed approaches can be effectively applied both for a preliminary forecast of possible disasters and for modelling, preparation and evaluation ofmeasures to prevent and control potential disasters. Methods also allow obtaining and improving of the control and managing in disasters, and provide decision-making support for disaster situations. Developed approaches are very flexible to use in systems of various nature, such as technical, environmental, social, human, economic and others. Developed tools allow reducing the time, financial and human resources for recovering from the effects of disasters in conditions under inaccuracy, incompleteness, fuzziness, untimeliness, noncredibility, and contradictoriness of information. © Springer ScienceCBusiness Media Dordrecht 2014.