Zhang J.,Hainan Provincial Climate Center |
Zhang J.,Disaster Mitigation Research Key Laboratory |
Liu S.,Hainan Provincial Climate Center |
Liu S.,Disaster Mitigation Research Key Laboratory |
And 2 more authors.
Journal of Natural Disasters
One of the main base of natural rubber production, Hainan island, is selected as a case study area to analyze and study the cause of rubber wind disasters. Based on the environment background and the typhoon disaster database, parameters for the disaster evaluation model were determined with statistics method. With the parameters, the extension model of rubber wind disaster evaluation for Hainan Island was built based on extension theory, and the evaluation system was developed with GIS technology. The evaluation model and system was then used to evaluate the wind disaster of rubber plantation of Hainan Island for No. 1117 severe typhoon "NESAT". Results show that the damage degree of the strong typhoon " NESAT" to rubber plantation in Hainan Island is medium, and the disaster loss of the rubber plantation mainly ranges between Grade 2 to Grade 3, which generally agrees with the actual situation. Source