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Le Touquet – Paris-Plage, France

Prigent C.,Paris Observatory | Papa F.,LEGOS | Aires F.,ESTELLUS | Jimenez C.,Paris Observatory | And 2 more authors.
Geophysical Research Letters | Year: 2012

We developed a remote sensing approach based on multi-satellite observations, which provides an unprecedented estimate of monthly distribution and area of land-surface open water over the whole globe. Results for 1993 to 2007 exhibit a large seasonal and inter-annual variability of the inundation extent with an overall decline in global average maximum inundated area of 6% during the fifteen-year period, primarily in tropical and subtropical South America and South Asia. The largest declines of open water are found where large increases in population have occurred over the last two decades, suggesting a global scale effect of human activities on continental surface freshwater: denser population can impact local hydrology by reducing freshwater extent, by draining marshes and wetlands, and by increasing water withdrawals. Copyright 2012 by the American Geophysical Union. Source


Munier S.,ESTELLUS | Aires F.,ESTELLUS | Aires F.,French National Center for Scientific Research | Schlaffer S.,Vienna University of Technology | And 5 more authors.
Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres | Year: 2014

In this study, we applied the integration methodology developed in the companion paper by Aires (2014) by using real satellite observations over the Mississippi Basin. The methodology provides basin-scale estimates of the four water budget components (precipitation P, evapotranspiration E, water storage change ΔS, and runoff R) in a two-step process: the Simple Weighting (SW) integration and a Postprocessing Filtering (PF) that imposes the water budget closure. A comparison with in situ observations of P and E demonstrated that PF improved the estimation of both components. A Closure Correction Model (CCM) has been derived from the integrated product (SW+PF) that allows to correct each observation data set independently, unlike the SW+PF method which requires simultaneous estimates of the four components. The CCM allows to standardize the various data sets for each component and highly decrease the budget residual (P - E - ΔS - R). As a direct application, the CCM was combined with the water budget equation to reconstruct missing values in any component. Results of a Monte Carlo experiment with synthetic gaps demonstrated the good performances of the method, except for the runoff data that has a variability of the same order of magnitude as the budget residual. Similarly, we proposed a reconstruction of ΔS between 1990 and 2002 where no Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment data are available. Unlike most of the studies dealing with the water budget closure at the basin scale, only satellite observations and in situ runoff measurements are used. Consequently, the integrated data sets are model independent and can be used for model calibration or validation. ©2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. Source


Munier S.,ESTELLUS | Munier S.,University of Washington | Polebistki A.,University of Wisconsin - Platteville | Brown C.,University of Massachusetts Amherst | And 2 more authors.
Water Resources Research | Year: 2015

The future Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite mission will provide two-dimensional maps of water elevation for rivers with width greater than 100 m globally. We describe a modeling framework and an automatic control algorithm that prescribe optimal releases from the Selingue dam in the Upper Niger River Basin, with the objective of understanding how SWOT data might be used to the benefit of operational water management. The modeling framework was used in a twin experiment to simulate the "true" system state and an ensemble of corrupted model states. Virtual SWOT observations of reservoir and river levels were assimilated into the model with a repeat cycle of 21 days. The updated state was used to initialize a Model Predictive Control (MPC) algorithm that computed the optimal reservoir release that meets a minimum flow requirement 300 km downstream of the dam. The data assimilation results indicate that the model updates had a positive effect on estimates of both water level and discharge. The "persistence," which describes the duration of the assimilation effect, was clearly improved (greater than 21 days) by integrating a smoother into the assimilation procedure. We compared performances of the MPC with SWOT data assimilation to an open-loop MPC simulation. Results show that the data assimilation resulted in substantial improvements in the performances of the Selingue dam management with a greater ability to meet environmental requirements (the number of days the target is missed falls to zero) and a minimum volume of water released from the dam. © 2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. Source


Mahfouf J.-F.,Meteo - France | Birman C.,Meteo - France | Aires F.,ESTELLUS | Prigent C.,LERMA | And 2 more authors.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society | Year: 2015

This study examines the information content on atmospheric temperature and humidity profiles that could be provided by a future spaceborne microwave sensor with a few hundred radiances in the millimetre and submillimetre spectral domains (ranging from 7-800 GHz). A channel selection method based on optimal estimation theory is undertaken, using a database of profiles with associated errors from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) numerical weather prediction model and the radiative transfer model Atmospheric Radiative Transfer Simulator (ARTS) under clear-sky conditions. The main results indicate that, by increasing the number of channels within the oxygen absorption band around 60 GHz and within the water-vapour absorption band at 183 GHz, the accuracy of temperature and humidity retrievals in the troposphere and stratosphere (for temperature) would be noticeably improved compared with present and planned microwave radiometers. The channels located in the absorption lines at 118 GHz and above 200 GHz do not bring significant additional information regarding atmospheric profiles under clear-sky conditions, partly due to greater radiometric noise. With a set of 137 selected channels that contribute to 90% of the total information content (measured by the degree of freedom for signal), it is possible to achieve almost the same performance in terms of variance error reduction as with 276 candidate channels. Sensitivity studies of various prescribed quantities defining the channel selection have been undertaken, in order to check the robustness of the conclusions. They show that none of the choices modifies the above findings. © 2015 Royal Meteorological Society. Source


Munier S.,ESTELLUS | Belaud G.,Montpellier SupAgro | Perrin C.,IRSTEA
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering | Year: 2014

This study addresses the sensitivity of short-term flow forecasting in the Seine River basin (43,800 km2, France) to the spatial distribution using a semidistributed model [Transfer with the Génie Rural model (TGR)]. The basin was decomposed into intermediate basins depending on the gauging stations selected for this study. A lumped hydrological model was applied on each intermediate basin and a routing model was used to propagate the discharge through the river network. Discharge data at the gauging stations were assimilated using a Kalman filter and tests for flow forecasting were performed with a lead time of up to 72 h. Several spatial configurations, defined by a selection of one or several gauging stations, were tested and the performances were compared with a reference lumped model currently used operationally by the regional flood forecasting center. Results showed that the forecasting performance improves with an increase in the degree of spatialization. Nevertheless, this improvement was not systematic and the integration of some particular gauging stations degraded the model performance. In addition, it was shown that integrating some other stations (generally the most upstream) led to a negligible improvement. This suggests that in an operational context, where the model has to be robust and computationally efficient, some efforts should focus on finding the optimal spatial distribution, which is not necessarily the one using all the available stations. © 2014 American Society of Civil Engineers. Source

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