Entity

Time filter

Source Type


McCarl B.A.,Texas A&M University | Musumba M.,Columbia University | Smith J.B.,Stratus Consulting Inc. | Kirshen P.,University of New Hampshire | And 8 more authors.
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change | Year: 2013

Egyptian agriculture is vulnerable to potential climate change due to its dependence on irrigated crops, a climate that is too dry to support crops, and increasing water demands. This study analyzes the agricultural implications of climate change and population growth plus possible adaptations strategies. A partial equilibrium model that simulates crop and livestock production along with water flows and non-agricultural water use is used to analyze the impact of climate change. The study examines the implications of climate change effects on crop yields, livestock performance, non-agricultural water use, water supply, irrigation water use, sea level rise and a growing population. Results indicate that climate change damages the Egyptian agricultural sector and the damages increase over time (2030-2060). Prices for agricultural commodities increase and this has a negative effect on consumers but a positive effect on producers. Egypt may reduce these damages by adapting through lower demand growth, raised agricultural technological progress, sea rise protection and water conservation strategies. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Source


McCarl B.A.,Texas A&M University | Musumba M.,Columbia University | Smith J.B.,Stratus Consulting Inc. | Kirshen P.,University of New Hampshire | And 8 more authors.
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change | Year: 2015

Egyptian agriculture is vulnerable to potential climate change due to its dependence on irrigated crops, a climate that is too dry to support crops, and increasing water demands. This study analyzes the agricultural implications of climate change and population growth plus possible adaptations strategies. A partial equilibrium model that simulates crop and livestock production along with water flows and non-agricultural water use is used to analyze the impact of climate change. The study examines the implications of climate change effects on crop yields, livestock performance, non-agricultural water use, water supply, irrigation water use, sea level rise and a growing population. Results indicate that climate change damages the Egyptian agricultural sector and the damages increase over time (2030–2060). Prices for agricultural commodities increase and this has a negative effect on consumers but a positive effect on producers. Egypt may reduce these damages by adapting through lower demand growth, raised agricultural technological progress, sea rise protection and water conservation strategies. © 2013, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Source

Discover hidden collaborations